Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1117.713306 1267.156835 1432.682517 1630.228156 1860.360460 2120.930343 2439.622909
2025-09-21 862.670604 1053.574156 1284.354161 1586.340629 1974.685369 2462.182501 3128.207985
2025-09-28 716.220199 917.644999 1175.413466 1534.040384 2027.336314 2692.811591 3677.146652
2025-10-05 651.230764 868.489150 1160.196771 1587.943305 2211.892446 3109.239395 4535.839233
2025-10-12 592.814318 817.339645 1131.160628 1612.317528 2350.571612 3473.467688 5377.395286
2025-10-19 544.848960 773.322206 1104.113149 1631.771482 2479.040164 3835.332175 6276.787907
2025-10-26 504.626817 735.020845 1079.307935 1648.578513 2601.628331 4201.549306 7249.250283
2025-11-02 477.187382 712.295231 1074.353678 1694.031979 2774.414925 4674.983159 8506.204421
2025-11-09 446.763500 681.428284 1052.551092 1707.630512 2892.314980 5067.382140 9688.309782
2025-11-16 418.903469 651.691327 1028.972765 1714.250711 2996.786665 5448.829418 10927.880591
2025-11-23 396.207581 628.091723 1012.809028 1731.123799 3121.073220 5886.384893 12384.301039
2025-11-30 377.770186 609.800986 1003.562185 1758.753139 3268.691915 6393.752470 14118.485839
2025-12-07 347.305571 569.244572 953.152871 1706.473633 3255.640329 6573.678375 15148.943212
2025-12-14 320.523262 533.096200 907.637132 1659.038726 3247.274744 6765.799981 16272.256934
2025-12-21 295.537061 498.096762 861.012623 1603.974760 3214.543983 6896.097390 17266.794837
2025-12-28 287.616933 493.161243 869.534536 1660.767867 3434.209084 7661.177508 20259.802489
2026-01-04 276.413474 481.204211 863.504724 1686.455365 3587.240350 8293.342860 23070.563361
2026-01-11 265.501208 468.884621 855.565605 1706.959928 3731.067225 8931.030339 26119.312420
2026-01-18 255.128931 456.762871 846.874484 1724.676379 3870.774021 9586.921495 29468.925916
2026-01-25 248.577699 451.510926 851.485487 1772.597356 4093.432990 10522.605549 34177.865999
2026-02-01 239.176214 439.911885 841.990085 1786.936362 4231.910121 11246.098928 38399.359387
2026-02-08 229.764973 427.606730 829.959338 1793.917419 4352.101592 11942.498226 42821.245602
2026-02-15 221.936882 417.957345 822.765569 1811.711330 4505.002079 12778.479220 48227.072975